Deterrence and first-strike stability in space

a preliminary assessment
  • 2.55 MB
  • 9521 Downloads
  • English
by
RAND , Santa Monica, CA
Space warfare -- Government policy -- United States, Space weapons -- United States, Deterrence (Stra
StatementForrest E. Morgan.
Classifications
LC ClassificationsUG1523 .M587 2010
The Physical Object
Paginationp. cm.
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL24081251M
ISBN 139780833049131
LC Control Number2010008354
OCLC/WorldCa537652613

X Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment in the context of any specific scenario. Consequently, it is less a ques-tion of whether would-be aggressors can be deterred from attacking U.S. space systems than of what kinds of attacks against which capa-bilities could be deterred under what by: 7.

Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment (Rand Corporation Monograph) - Kindle edition by Morgan, Forrest E. Download it once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment (Rand Corporation Cited by: 7.

Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S. space assets. The United States needs a coordinated national space deterrence strategy designed to operate on both sides of a potential adversary1s cost-benefit decision : $ The United States needs a coherent space deterrence strategy that operates on both sides of a potential adversary's cost-benefit decision calculus to better protect U.S.

national security space infrastructure and strengthen first-strike by: 7. Get this from a library. Deterrence and first-strike stability in space: a preliminary assessment.

[Forrest E Morgan; Project Air Force (U.S.)] -- Space stability Deterrence and first-strike stability in space book a fundamental U.S.

national security interest. Unfortunately, that stability may be eroding. Potential enemies understand the high degree to which space systems enhance U.S.

Details Deterrence and first-strike stability in space PDF

Space Deterrence and General Deterrence Although this assessment focuses specifically on space deterrence and first-strike stability in space, it is important to appreciate the interde-pendencies between these factors and general deterrence and stabil-ity writ large.

Given the extent to which space support enhances U.S. Space stability is a fundamental U.S. national security interest. Unfortunately, that stability may be eroding.

Since the end of the Cold War, U.S.

Description Deterrence and first-strike stability in space FB2

military forces have repeatedly demonstrated their dominance in conventional warfare, and future enemies will be well aware that the dramatic warfighting advantage that U.S. forces possess is largely the result of support from space. Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment by Forrest E.

Morgan. RAND,pp. Over the past half-century we have witnessed two separate periods where parallel technological developments have shaped the contours of US space policy.

Deterrence and first-strike stability in space book stability is a fundamental U.S. national security interest.

Unfortunately, that stability may be eroding. Potential enemies understand the high degree to which space systems enhance U.S. conventional warfighting capabilities, and a growing number of them are acquiring the ability to degrade or destroy those systems.

However, the risk is not the same for all space systems in all types of. The United States can raise the thresholds of deterrence failure in crises and at some levels of limited war by implementing a coordinated national space deterrence strategy designed to operate on both sides of a potential adversary's cost-benefit decision calculus simultaneously.

Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment (Rand Corporation Monograph) eBook: Morgan, Forrest E.: : Kindle StoreAuthor: Forrest E. Morgan. Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S. space assets.

The United States needs a coordinated national space deterrence strategy designed to operate on both sides of a potential adversary1s cost-benefit decision calculus.

Download Deterrence and first-strike stability in space FB2

Future research will determine the most effective and affordable mix of strategies, policies, and. Read "Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space A Preliminary Assessment" by Forrest E. Morgan available from Rakuten Kobo. Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S.

space Brand: RAND Corporation. Posturing for space deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age. an aggressive postured adversary should be counter-postured similarly to provide first-strike stability and vertical escalation dominance.[21] While potentially effective for such a scenario, within a Tier 1 Deterrence situation, such a posture is insufficient to effectively deter.

Space deterrence problems that involve single or limited attacks that can cause large numbers of fatalities may find applicable instruction in nuclear deterrence thinking, while circumstances in which mass effects can be produced without direct loss of life might be informed by literature on cyber deterrence.

This type of situation is described as first-strike instability (instability that favors the first strike). The first-strike stability/instability concept was developed in by Glenn A.

Kent and David E. Thaler from research and development (RAND) to describe the deterrence. First-strike deterrence is similar to the Chinese perspective of deterrence as “active deterrence” or a posture of “attack to deter.”[58] This Chinese concept states that rather than waiting for the threat to fully materialize through a direct attack, it would be considered an act of self-defense to conduct the first strike.[59].

Forrest Morgan is the author of Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space ( avg rating, 5 ratings, 1 review, published ), General William Ea /5(1).

Taking action now to develop sound space strategy grounded in the LOAC, including the roles of deterrence and dissuasion, will help promote peace and stability in space among the international community. John J. Klein is a Senior Fellow at Falcon Research in northern Virginia.

First Strike Stability book. Read reviews from world’s largest community for readers. The lifting of the Iron Curtain in response to pressures for democr 4/5(1). Preceded by over 40 years of peace and stability, unprecedented in the history of modern Europe, the Cold War ended in a climate of upheaval and uncertainty.

This volume addresses issues associated with the political and military vacuum created by recent events and explores in depth a problem of military uncertainty: first strike : Pasta dura.

In recent years, RAND analysts have examined escalation dynamics in the current security environment, the implications of alternative long-range strike systems for crisis management and crisis stability, and ways to strengthen first-strike stability in space.

documented in Forrest E. Morgan, Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment, MGAF, This monograph argues that first-strike stability in space appears to be eroding and that the United States should take concerted action to strengthen that stability by developing a strategy to deter future adversaries.

: First Strike Stability: Deterrence after Containment (Contributions in Military Studies) (): Cimbala, Stephen J.: Books. Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment (Rand Corporation Monograph) May 3, by Forrest E.

Morgan $   First-strike stability or instability is related to a concept that Glenn Kent and David Thaler of The RAND Corporation developed in to examine the dynamics of deterrence between two or more nuclear states.

9 Forrest Morgan, also from RAND, states that this concept is similar to crisis stability, which is “a measure of the countries. Buy the Hardcover Book First Strike Stability: Deterrence After Containment by Stephen J.

Cimbala atCanada's largest bookstore. Free shipping and pickup in store on eligible orders. 1 See Forrest E. Morgan, “Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment” (Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Project Air Force, January ), “Space Warfare: Deterrence, Dissuasion and the Law of Armed Conflict,” War on the Rocks, Aug.

Strategic deterrence model 96 Long-term deterrence strategies Strategy options Campaigning and bargaining Bargaining early Depiction of optimization of the linear function for first strike Deterrence model National interests Conflict pyramid For the United States and its allies, NFU has several military and political benefits.

First, it would enhance crisis stability. A credible NFU policy would help decrease an opponent's trepidations about a U.S. first strike, thereby reducing the possibility that nuclear weapons are used accidentally, inadvertently, or deliberately in a severe.

Deterrence was the linchpin of U.S. strategy for decades, but the context for deterrence has changed markedly. Instead of a single, near-peer opponent, the U.S.

faces an array of possible attackers with differing capabilities and tolerances for risk. Reports/Essays March – “Strategy after Deterrence” October – “Defining Rules of Behavior for Force and Coercion in.

“Deterrence stability” has been the holy grail of nuclear arms control — the mechanism by which arms racing can be contained and stability in crises maintained. Advocates of strategic modernization programs often claim that they, too, are motivated by the pursuit of deterrence stability.

Dr. John J. Klein is a Senior Fellow and Strategist at Falcon Research, Inc. and Adjunct Professor at George Washington University’s Space Policy Institute.

He frequently writes on space policy, strategy, and deterrence. Dr. Klein is the author of the forthcoming book Understanding Space Strategy: The Art of War in Space ().

The views expressed in this article are solely those of the.